Tensions Unveiled: Tony Blair's Blunt Reaction to Rhodri Morgan's 'Clear Red Water' Speech

In a stunning revelation from newly released UK government documents, Tony Blair’s private dismissal of Rhodri Morgan’s landmark 2002 speech is brought to light. Morgan, Wales’ first minister at the time, delivered a compelling lecture that aimed to distinguish Welsh Labour from Blair’s policies by proposing a ‘clear red water’ approach.

Handwritten notes by Blair describe the speech as ‘rubbish’ and ‘dreadful nonsense’, reflecting his intense disapproval. Blair’s critique included concerns over Morgan’s opposition to key policies like the introduction of foundation hospitals in England, which Morgan argued would ultimately lead to hospitals controlling patient choices—a claim Blair refuted outright.

The relationship between Morgan and Blair was historically strained, particularly after Blair favored Morgan’s political rival, Alun Michael, during the establishment of the Welsh Assembly, creating internal divisions within Welsh Labour. Michael’s short-lived leadership laid the groundwork for Morgan to take the helm as the first minister, a position from which he would serve for nearly a decade.

Though Blair expressed formal concerns over Morgan’s ideological direction, he also acknowledged the political realities, indicating a reluctant acceptance: ‘Still if it succeeds electorally, we will have to put up with it.’ This balance of disagreement and reluctant acknowledgment of electoral success characterized their complex relationship.

Mark Drakeford, Morgan’s aide and later first minister, paints a picture of a leader who was committed to the unique political context of Wales, with Blair providing a begrudging support as long as it did not affect broader Labour strategies. Blair ultimately recognized Morgan as a prominent and respected figure within the party, albeit one from a different ideological stance. The ‘clear red water’ strategy, embraced by many in Welsh Labour, is now viewed as a vital play that enabled Labour’s continued dominance in Wales, a stark contrast to its declining influence in Scotland.

Morgan’s speech and Blair’s reaction encapsulate a pivotal moment in Welsh political history, revealing the tensions within the Labour party and underlining the importance of localized political strategies.